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MentalMental Models 

A mental model is the specific thought process used to examine a problem.

Map is not the Territory

Map + Model .png
  • A map cannot perfectly capture all of reality.

  • A map is outdated moment it is created.  It does not reflect changes over time.

  • Key benefit is reducing complexity to simplicity via abstraction. 

  • When we read something we are trusting the author to digest large amounts of information and convey to us. But many things are lost in translation.

  • Need to understand carefully the limits of the map and then explore carefully.

  • “Remember all models are wrong; the practical question is how wrong do they have to be to not be useful.” – George Box

  • Make sure to evaluate the cartographer. What’s their motives?

  • A cautionary tale is what can happen when the faith in the model influences the decisions we make in the territory. Example: EPS must be met by CEOs  

 

Model Management:

  • As more people know your model to manipulate, they will not use them

  • Models will be adopted by others, removing the “secret sauce”

  • Model may be useful in limited settings (i.e. a Factory in a city of 100,000)

  • We need to do the mental hard work to see if the map agrees with the territory.

  • We run into trouble when the map is our only source of knowledge and we assume territory is the same if a couple of aspects matches the map.

  • Do not mistake map for reality. Need to have feedback loops updating the map

 

 

 

Source: The Great Mental Models Vol 1.

Circle of Competence

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  • The most dangerous thing is skimming and assuming you are competent. It is important to drink deep so you are sober from your knowledge.

  • Knowledge keeps getting updated, and so must you.

  • You need to be curious, have a desire to learn, monitor and obtain feedback.

  • Most of us are much worse drivers, lovers, managers and traders than we think we are

  • We also need to know when we are outside of our circle of competence:

    • Obtain the basics – but be humble

    • Talk to someone whose circle of competence is strong. But make sure you ask thoughtful questions. Also probe to see where their circle of competence ends.

    • Use a broad understanding of your mental models

  • Try to see if you can test your theory and prove it is false. If you cannot, it is hard to know if it is true.

 

Source: The Great Mental Models Vol 1.

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